At this point we know we ain’t getting another Avatar this December but the big number of wide releases for the weekend might make up for that. We have Tron: Legacy (tracking for an easy win), Yogi Bear and How Do You Know opening while critic and awards darlings The Fighter and Black Swan go from limited to wide in terms of available theaters to watch them in, more after the break.
So Tron: Legacy can’t save this tepid December all by itself, we got that much down, but it should still make about $35 million or so in the 3451 theaters it opens in on Friday. Critical reception is mixed while the first movie didn’t impress with big box office numbers (otherwise we would have gotten the sequel a lot sooner) so chances are if you ain’t a fan of the first movie (of the older, above 21 crowd) this won’t make you a fan of the series. So crossover appeal is limited, all we got left is the cult classic status the first Tron got back in 1982 when it made $33 million on a $17 million budget.
Yogi Bear, as much as I hate the way it looks, is bound to finish in 2nd place with $20 million. Won’t come close to Alvin and the Chipmuncks numbers, but it won’t be Marmaduke either.
I can see The Fighter, expanding to 2503 theaters, making about $18 million for 3rd place and considering the buzz this movie is getting, it could become one of the breakout hits of the winter going above $80 million in North America when all is said and done.
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader is, hopefully going to score the lowest drop in the franchise, we all know it definitely needs that to stay alive. $15 million for 4th place and a total of only $45 million at the end of the weekend.
Black Swan expanded to 90 theaters last weekend and made the top 10 with $3.3 million, now it will be in 959 theaters so I’m expecting $12 million for another exceptional weekend for the Darren Aronofsky Golden Globe nominated movie.
In 6th and 7th place we’ll get the rather expensive ($100 million budget) romantic comedy How Do You Know with $11 million while Tangled should make $9 million
The Tourist in 8th place with $8 million while Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 in 9th with what should be $5 million for a new total of $267 million. This is barely going to get to $290 million, let alone the $301.9 of the previous entry.
Unstoppable is going to finish the top 10 with $2 million and we are getting ready for Christmas next week with Little Fockers, True Grit and Gulliver’s Travels.