You’ve probably noticed by now that the 2011 summer movie season is looking pretty packed, and if you haven’t here’s a rundown:
Thor, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides, The Hangover 2, X-Men: First Class, Fast Five, Green Lantern, Rise of the Apes, Transformers: Dark of the Moon, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2, Captain America: The First Avenger, and Cowboys and Aliens (to name a few).
The director of the latter film, Jon Favreau, is also aware of the sheer amount of competition, and has described it as a “bloodbath”
From The L.A Times:
Jon Favreau has seen Hollywood’s future — at least as far as summer 2011 – and it looks a lot like “Saving Private Ryan.” “It’s Omaha Beach, it’s going to be a bloodbath,” the filmmaker said of next year’s crush of big special-effects films, remakes and sequels. “There’s never been a summer like this next summer. It’s going to be bloody [for filmmakers and the studios]. As we were sticking thumb tacks in a calendar we realized that this is going to be looked back upon as Omaha Beach.”
Favreau said it’s great for moviegoers, but it looks like a steel-cage match for filmmakers and studio executives. “There’s not a weekend where there won’t be teeth on the floor. The audience wins but it’s going to be rough for people making these movies. Then there was the big rush to 3D, so you have all of these people fighting for a limited number of screens and to get the 3D done, since most of these are hybrids or conversions, so this is a technology that is still in the relatively early stages and there’s going to be a lot of blood pressures going up in the months ahead.”
The juggernaut franchises such as Potter, Pirates and Transformers shouldn’t have a problem, but blockbusters that could easily make $300-400 million worldwide in a regular year may see their box office takings chiseled away by the movie released the following weekend. A more optimistic approach would be to look at Sherlock Holmes which managed $500 million worldwide while up against Avatar, which showed that people will flock to good movies regardless.
There are some interesting questions regarding next summer:
- Can superhero newbies Thor, Captain America and Green Lantern all make an impact to warrant sequels?
- Will prequels such as X-Men: First Class and Rise of the Apes hold enough interest for moviegoers?
- Can a movie based on a little known graphic novel such as Cowboys and Aliens compete with the more popular franchises?
- Are studios shooting themselves in the foot by crowding May, June and July when Alice in Wonderland and Clash of the Titans have proved that movies can make money outside of the summer months?
We will obviously get these answers next year, but for now we can just sit back and watch all the images, posters and trailers roll in over the next few months. That’s what we’re interested in after all. Let the studios do all the worrying.
Which movies do you think will succeed or fail next summer?
(You can check out Filmonic’s summer 2011 movie round-up here!)