Historically the last weekend of April has been a dumping ground but in recent years, thanks to films like Fast Five, that has changed. While none of the flicks opening today plan to go that far, it should still be a good final spring weekend, most likely lead by The Five-Year Engagement.
The guys behind comedies like Forgetting Sarah Marshall and Get Him to the Greek, actor/writer Jason Segel and director/writer Nick Stoller, bring us The Five Year Engagement. Starring Jason Segel, Emily Blunt and sporting a 60% rating on Rotten Tomatoes right now, this film should have no problem finishing the weekend first with $21 million or more. Back in 2008 Forgetting Sarah Marshall opened with $17.7 million while Get Him to the Greek had $17.5 million, so The Five-Year Engagement might mark a new high for the Segel and Stoller duo.
Former leader Think Like a Man has to fend off the latest Aardman animation for it to come in 2nd. While the mostly black comedy has the upper hand here and should bring in at least $18 million, The Pirates! Band of Misfits is no slouch either. The highest an Aardman animated flick has ever opened was in 2006 with Flushed Away at $18.8 million. With a Rotten Tomatoes rating 87%, about the only thing going against The Pirates! is the stop-motion animation used to make it, unfortunately not as popular as CGI these days. I’m going to say $17.5 million and 3rd for the weekend.
Romantic flick The Lucky One will probably be 4th with $12 million for a 10-day total of $40 million while The Hunger Games should round out the top 5 with $9 million for a new total of $370 million in 38 days. That would put the flick $4 million ahead of Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 at the same point in its run.
We have two more movies opening wide today, The Raven, a thriller where John Cusack plays Edgar Allan Poe, and Safe, an R-rated action flick starring everyone’s favorite semi-bold British guy, Jason Statham. The John Cusack flick is absolutely trashed by critics (19% on Rotten Tomatoes) but the subject matter could still bring a few buts in sits, so I think $8 million sounds about right. With Safe I’m not expecting more than $7 million.
Next week the summer season starts at the box office with Marvel’s The Avengers, quite simply the stuff fanboy dreams are made of.