Once again Mission: Impossible – Ghost Protocol will top the North American box office, for the last time in 2011. The rest of the holdovers seem strong on their feet, including but not limited to Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows, Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked, We Bought a Zoo and The Adventures of Tintin.
The very action-packed 4th entry in the Mission: Impossible series should gross another hefty $32 million or so for a new total of around $135 million, thus passing the $134 million made by Mission: Impossible 3 in 2006. If my prediction becomes reality then Ghost Protocol should also surpass the original Mission: Impossible at the same point in its run. That makes Mission: Impossible – Ghost Protocol a prime candidate to finish very close to the $200 million mark in North America. Internationally the movie is doing spectacular business so Mission: Impossible 5 probably isn’t all that far away.
Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows fell behind Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked for the past two days so the race for 2nd place should be very interesting since both movies still have a long way to go in order to catch up to their previous entries. My pick is Sherlock with $21 million while Alvin will have to settle for 3rd place and $20 million, a nice bump from last weekend. By Monday Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows should be at $131 million ($165.1 million at the same point for the original) while Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked at $96 million (Alvin 1 had $141.4 and Alvin 2 $165.3 million).
4th place will see either The Adventures of Tintin, We Bought a Zoo or War Horse. Tintin and Zoo have shown great legs so far but I can’t say the same about War Horse. Three days ago I would have picked War Horse for 2nd place without even looking back once, now it might not even make it into the top 5. The Adventures of Tintin and We Bought a Zoo started the week at over $5 million and by Thursday both films were still above $4 million. War Horse had $7 million on Monday (after opening on Sunday) and by Thursday it was already down to $3.6 million, almost half. So I except $15 million from The Adventures of Tintin, $14 million for We Bought a Zoo and a somewhat disappointing $13 million for War Horse, bringing their totals to $51 million, $41 million and $39 million for the former.
Next weekend we have just one new wide release, Paramount’s The Devil Inside, your typical R-rated horror to start the new year.