Box Office Forecast: Clint Eastwood aims for #1 in Trouble with the Curve

This weekend comes packed with four new releases, each poised to grab at least $10 million. Basically Trouble with the Curve, Dredd, End of Watch, and House at the End of the Street will form the top 4. The order you can find after the break.

Almost 4 years have passed since we last saw Clint Eastwood on the big screen, but mind you, the 82 year old was still busy, directing 3 movies in that time. But unlike Gran Torino in 2008, Trouble with the Curve was not directed by Clint Eastwood, actually the last film he starred in that wasn’t helmed by him dates back to 1993, action flick In the Line of Fire. So you can see how this new movie raises a few questions. Anyway, this is Clint Eastwood we are talking about and the last films that had his face in them grossed over $100 million each. Trouble with the Curve should be good at $20 million, easily taking the #1 spot.

House at the End of the Street is a new horror flick starring Jennifer Lawrence of The Hunger Games fame. Bad reviews (14% on Rotten Tomatoes currently) might scare away a few customers but the intriguing trailers and obviously the name(s) attached here could bring a decent gross for House at the End of the Street. $15 million seems within reach here for 2nd place.

Dredd is the 2nd time Hollywood takes a stab at this somewhat obscure comic book hero. The first try came out in 1995 under the title Judge Dredd, a failure some would say. Made for $90 million, the Sylvester Stallone flick only opened with $12.2 million and went on to gross $34.6 million in North America. This new 3D Dredd seems to at least have critics and fans of the comics behind this time around but I feel the hype is not there. Overpriced 3D and 17 years of inflation probably won’t help Dredd all that much so expect $13 million, give or take, for 3rd place.

End of Watch is the final new wide release, a cop drama shot in the found footage style. This project must have looked cool on paper but the reality is almost always different. A few well-known actors (Jake Gyllenhaal, Michael Pena, Anna Kendrick) might raise the stakes but I can’t see this opening above $12 million. But then again, these films are always dirt cheap compared to most.

Rounding out the top 5 will most likely be Finding Nemo 3D with $8-9 million.

Next week September comes to an end with Maggie Gyllenhaal and Viola Davis in Won’t Back Down, Bruce Willis and Joseph Gordon-Levitt in Lopper, and last but definitely not least, Hotel Transylvania with the voices of Adam Sandler and Andy Samberg among others.