As the awards season presses onward, with the Satellite Awards and Chicago Film Critics Awards giving love these last couple of days, most categories are becoming relatively predictable. But some aren’t.
Unless the Oscars decide to really go crazy, The Social Network should be the expected victor in the Best Picture and Director slots (it nabbed the Satellite and CFC awards in both categories). Christian Bale (The Fighter) is sweeping the Best Supporting Actor competition, and Colin Firth (The King’s Speech) still seems to be the Best Actor frontrunner. The Best Actress ballot definitely isn’t a lock, but Annette Bening (The Kids Are All Right) and Natalie Portman (Black Swan) are battling it out at the head of the pack, with the likes of Jennifer Lawrence (Winter’s Bone) and Noomi Rapace (The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo), who won the Satellite Award on Sunday, nipping at their heels.
The Supporting Actress awards, on the other hand, have been all over the place. There appears to be a whole hoard of nominees chasing the big prize. Jacki Weaver (Animal Kingdom) grabbed the Satellite Award and National Board of Review honors; fresh face Hailee Steinfeld (True Grit) was snubbed by the Golden Globes despite her numerous other nominations and wins, including one from the CFC; The Fighter duo, Melissa Leo and Amy Adams, have been ubiquitous this awards season; Mila Kunis (Black Swan), Olivia Williams (The Ghost Writer), Helena Bonham Carter (The King’s Speech), and Juliette Lewis (Conviction) have all popped up here and there, (Carter and Kunis both nabbed Globe nominations), but none are garnering overwhelming Oscar buzz.
Since no one has been able to pull a Mo’Nique this year, what’s going to happen when the Academy releases their nominations in the New Year? I’m betting The Fighter will fill at least one spot on the ballot, and Steinfeld has a good shot due to the Academy’s history of recognizing young actresses in this category. Perhaps when the Golden Globes and SAG awards are given a clearer picture will develop.