Not a lot of action going on at the box office this weekend, we have 3 new wide releases, The Back-Up Plan, The Losers and Oceans.
Unfortunately none of this movies looks like something that might make it to number one so we might see How to Train Your Dragon again on top after missing last weekend in a photo finish with Kick Ass.
The Losers, a Warner Bros movie opening in 2936 theaters could go on to make between $12 and $16 million, and really, it seems it will be the only competition for How to Train Your Dragon.
The Back-Up Plan from CBS (their second film after the flop Extraordinary Measures that only made $12 million in North America with actors Harrison Ford and Brendan Fraser) is opening in a few more theaters, 3280 but Jeniffer Lopez isn’t the same box office draw she once was so I only expect about 10-12 million for this one. Another flop for CBS Films? Might be, but I’m sure it will at least make more then Extraordinary Measures (probably in its first weekend).
Finally Oceans comes from Buena Vista (Disney) and is sort of the sequel to Earth, the 2009 documentary that went on to gross $32 million in North America and $108 million worldwide. Ocean is showing in less theaters (1206 versus 1804 for Earth) and seems like a smaller profile release then that movie so I don’t see it making more then $4-$5 million over the weekend (it opened on the 22th, Earth Day so that will cut from the total weekend also, might finish with $6-$7, maybe $8 million over the 4 days).
I’m hoping Kick Ass will start to kick some ass at the box office but I’m not going to hold my breath for that, I expect a 50% drop, at least.
How to Train Your Dragon on the other hand won’t drop more then 10-20% and will probably finish first.
- How to Train Your Dragon (DW) $17 million ($179M)
- The Losers (WB) $14 million (NEW)
- The Back-Up Plan (CBS) $12 million (NEW)
- Date Night (Fox) $11 million ($64M)
- Kick Ass (LGF) $10 million ($35M)
Please guys, please go see Kick Ass, otherwise you will almost never see this kind of independent movies done by fans for fans get picked by a studio and open in theaters.