Last weekend of the month, June 24-26 brings us two new releases going head to head. One is an animated flick, sequel to a popular 2006 Pixar production and the other has Cameron Diaz playing a bad teacher in Bad Teacher. So how will these two perform over the weekend at the box office and what is to happen with the rest of the holdover picks, right after the break.
This is June 2011 and like every summer, we get a Pixar movie and boy oh boy do I look forward to these things. Now last year they had another sequel, Toy Story 3 and suffice to say, that was a fantastic movie. This year, a sequel again (and this is the first time Pixar has done something like that), unfortunately the sequel to what I consider the lesser Pixar animated feature, Cars. Yes, this week we have Cars 2 and for the first time ever I am not looking forward to a Pixar movie. Opening in 4115 theaters, 3D and all and… 16 years of impeccable history, 16 years of lauded animations, all tarnished by this Cars 2. Where should I start, I ain’t one to give in to critics, I mean I saw Green Lantern last week regardless of the bad reviews and I actually enjoyed it for what it was but a Pixar flick scoring a 35% Rotten Tomato rating (that became 34% in the time it took me to write this), in other news hell is now officially frozen. Now I am sure this is not really a bad movie but when you have such a long history of setting the bar high, the second you go down a notch, you get trashed. Regardless, we all know Disney ordered this movie just to sell a new batch of Cars merchandise so why not, bring on the money train to pay for the future Pixar projects to come. I see $70 million for this, that is more then the $60.1 million Cars made in 2006 but considering the higher priced 3D tickets and just how popular this franchise is now, well, that should be about right.
Bad Teacher will grab 2nd place with the help of the 3049 theaters it opens in and better reviews then Cars 2, really? This is an R rated comedy and if The Hangover showed us anything, age rating doesn’t matter if you make a movie people want to see and Bad Teacher looked funny in the previews. I’m setting this up for $22 million or so, just enough to beat Green Lantern. This superhero flick should be in 3rd place with $20-21 million for a total of over $92 million in 10 days.
4th place is definitely going to Super 8 with $14 million for $97 million or so in 17 days and well on its way to beating District 9‘s $115 million final tally. Finally, 5th place can only go to one flick and that is without a doubt Mr. Popper’s Penguins, the Jim Carrey family comedy from Fox. With around $11 million over the weekend, this should be at $40 million after 10 days.
Next week Michael Bay is back with his giant transforming robots in arguably his biggest movie yet, Transformers: Dark of the Moon, in very bright 3D. Other then that we will also be served with two romantic comedies, Larry Crowne from Universal and Monte Carlo from Fox.