With $129.4 million in 5 days Wonder Woman is off to a strong start. Meanwhile Captain Underpants doesn’t disappoint in 2nd and Pirates 5 continues to sink in 3rd.
Wonder Woman opened to $103.3 million over the weekend, a new low for the DC Extended Universe, behind Batman v Superman ($166 million), Suicide Squad ($133.7 million) and Man of Steel ($116.6 million). So why did I say it’s a strong start? Well only a month ago Wonder Woman was tracking to begin its box office run with $65 million or so. From that to $103.3 million is a pretty big jump. Sure, I predicted $120 million, but that was more me hoping Wonder Woman would at least open above Man of Steel. Realistically the range here was $70-80 million and Wonder Woman surpassed that and then some.
Looking at the big picture, as far as first solo superhero movies go, Wonder Woman beats the likes of everything out there except Superman (with Man of Steel) and Spider-Man ($114.8 million in 2002). Also word of mouth (and critical reception) around Wonder Woman is much better than it ever was for either one of the previous DC Extended Universe movies. That means Wonder Woman might have more staying power, maybe even get a multiplier (US total divided by opening weekend) that’s higher than 3, a first for the DCEU. Right now I’m positive Wonder Woman will finish north of $300 million domestically. On top of that the film is playing great internationally, so $700+ million worldwide is in the cards.
DreamWorks Animation’s Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie started in 2nd with $23.9 million. A few years ago this would be labeled a disaster for the animation studio, but unlike something like Turbo ($21.3 million start in 2013) Captain Underpants did not cost $135 million. Instead at just $38 million this is actually one of the studio’s cheapest movies ever. So considering that very important aspect, $28.6 million in 5 days for Captain Underpants is good. And even if next week it gets crushed by Cars 3, it should still do at least $70 million overall in the US.
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales lost 64.9% in 3rd with $22.1 million. That’s $121 million after 12 days, or $45.8 million behind On Stranger Tides. So far Dead Men Tell No Tales is playing almost exactly like X-Men: Apocalypse ($122.5 million in 12 days, $155.4 million total) last year, on course for $150-160 million domestically. On the other hand the film is already past half a billion worldwide, proof that Pirates of the Caribbean is still a very popular brand internationally. That’s good news for fans since it means this might not be the last we’ve seen of Captain Jack.
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 is not going down without a fight, now in 4th with $9.8 million, off by 52.9%. The film raised $358.1 million in 33 days, which is still $28.7 million behind Iron Man 3 ($409 million total) at the same point. While Guardians Vol. 2 is slowly getting closer each day, and a $400+ million final US cume is possible, I’m leaning more towards $390-395 million here.
Baywatch rounds out the top 5 with $8.7 million, down a decent 52.8%. In 13 days the R-rated comedy made $44.6 million domestically, will probably stop around $70-80 million.