Rogue One: A Star Wars Story opened to a huge $155.1 million, the 2nd best start ever for the month of December, behind last year’s The Force Awakens.
Rogue One surpassed expectations with a massive $155.1 million debut, the 3rd highest of 2016. That’s of course a step down from The Force Awakens‘ $248 million, the current all-time record. And really no one was expecting Rogue One to come close to that. Going into December the prequel/spin-off was tracking to open around $135-145 million and even early Friday numbers were suggesting no more than $145 million. But then Rogue One kept growing, ending up with $71.1 million on Friday. Saturday was off by 34.9% with $46.3 million, better than The Force Awakens‘ 42.7% 2nd day drop (although the latter had a much higher number, $68.3 million). The roles were reverse on Sunday with Rogue One losing 18.6% (because fewer kids were out of school on Monday) to The Force Awakens‘ 11.3%. Overall Rogue One was slightly less frontloaded.
Looking ahead the Star Wars prequel could be headed for as much as $580-600 million domestically, that is if it has the same multiplier as The Force Awakens (3.77). It could also fall well short of that. But as long as Rogue One takes at least $490 million, it will become 2016’s top box office performer in the US.
Moana dropped to 2nd with $12.7 million, down only 31.3% (top 5 best). After 26 days the Disney animation has $162.9 million and it’s definitely not stopping anytime soon. Illumination’s Sing will certainly take a bite out of Moana‘s box office pie, but as we’ve seen in the past there’s enough business for both during the holidays.
Right now Moana, Doctor Strange ($226.3 million) and Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them ($207.7 million) are in a race for 2016’s 10th spot. While Strange is still in the lead, I’m giving the edge to Moana with $250 million. Sing and Passengers will very likely not be able to come anywhere near that number, meaning Moana should remain in 10th. If that happens then Disney will have 6 of the year’s 10 highest grossing movies. I might need to double check but I believe no other studio has ever done this before. Yep, that’s a new record.
Office Christmas Party couldn’t party as hard in its 2nd weekend, down 49.2% with $8.6 million. That’s $31.7 million in 10 days for the R-rated comedy, which is still headed for $60 million domestically. Or maybe more like $55 million. I guess we’ll see soon enough.
Collateral Beauty opened in 4th with a disappointing $7.1 million. It’s Will Smith’s lowest star (among his wide releases) and I don’t think there’s a whole lot more to say here. A bad movie very few people wanted to watch opened against one of the most anticipated movies of the year. I’m going to say $30 million is probably the ceiling for Collateral Beauty in the US.
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them rounds out the top 5 with $5.1 million, down -51.3% from a week ago. The domestic total after 31 days is $207.7 million and the final cume will probably end up around $230 million.