Newcomer Office Christmas Party was no match for Disney’s Moana, which became the 6th 2016 release to stay at number 1 for at least three consecutive weekends.
Moana made $18.5 million in its 3rd frame, down 34.4% from the previous weekend. That’s a bigger drop than those of Tangled (-33.7%) and Frozen (-28.6%) at the same point in their respective runs. On the other hand after 19 days in theaters the animation has $144.7 million, which puts it way ahead of Tangled ($115.4 million in 19 days). Frozen had a different release schedule so it wouldn’t be a fair comparison. All in all Moana is still headed for at least $250 million in the US.
Moana is Disney’s 6th 2016 movie to sit on top of the US box office for at least one weekend. And then there’s also The Force Awakens with two weekends in January. So with just 7 films Disney topped 18 of the year’s 50 weekends. Rogue One will of course grab the remaining three, at which point I’ll be able to say that in the last two months (November and December) Disney had number 1 movies in all but one weekend (November 18-20, Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them). Yeah, it’s pretty safe to say Disney absolutely dominated 2016 at the box office. The crazy part is they did it with significantly fewer movies than the competition.
Office Christmas Party opened in 2nd with $16.9 million, very much in line with expectations. I think that’s an okay start for the holiday themed R-rated comedy. If it ends up playing like Sisters ($87 million) last year, Office Christmas Party could get pretty close to $100 million. Okay, maybe not quite that good, but $60-70 million domestically is a reasonable target here. Next weekend will paint a better picture for Office Christmas Party‘s box office legs.
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them was off by 42.5% in 3rd with $10.4 million. In 25 days the Potter spin-off made $199.8 million and should clear $200 million at some point today. After that it might be looking at another $25-30 million before it leaves US cinemas behind. Between that and its excellent international numbers, Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them is off to a promising start. Will that be enough to get four more installments? Too soon to tell but I’m hoping the answer is yes.
Arrival came in 4th with $5.6 million, down a top 5 best 23.1%. The sci-fi drama is currently at $82 million and counting, well on its way to over $90 million when all will be said and done. If it wasn’t for Rogue One this Friday and half a dozen other movies the following week, I would even dare to say $100 million.
Doctor Strange rounds out the top 5 with $4.5 million, losing only 32.1% compared to last week. Right now Strange ranks 9th among 2016’s top grossing movies with $222.7 million. To keep that spot or at least stay in the top 10, Doctor Strange will need at least $250 million. That or Moana has to lose a lot of steam over the holiday. But that’s not going to happen so Doctor Strange will have to settle for 11th or 12th with $230-235 million.