I have a feeling March might end up being one of the best months of 2017 for movies and box office. To back that I can name at least 3 movies that probably won’t disappoint, Logan, Kong and Beauty and the Beast.
Over the course of March a total of 13 movies will be released wide. That’s quite a bit of ground to cover so without further ado let’s get straight into it.
March 3rd brings Logan, Before I Fall and The Shack. I think I saw a trailer at some point for Before I Fall and I know nothing about The Shack. I’m sure both will be great movies, but really Logan is what most of you will see this weekend. If everything goes as planned I might even have a review of sorts for that one on Saturday or Sunday (fingers crossed).
I said most of you will watch Logan over the weekend because I’m hoping Hugh Jackman’s final X-Men film can open higher than Origins: Wolverine, which started with $85.1 million back in 2009 (and is still the record for the hero’s solo outings). Maybe I’m crazy but I think even $100 million could be doable for Logan, so just this once let’s say $105 million opening weekend, $250 million total in the US and $700 million worldwide. Who knows, maybe it can go up to $750 million and become the 2nd highest grossing X-Men film, besting all the other PG-13 installments and joining Deadpool‘s R-rated ranks ($783.1 million). I guess that’s the dream.
Before I Fall and The Shack will probably each open between $4 and $6 million and eventually make their way to $10 to $20 million in the US.
There’s only a single wide release on March 10th, Kong: Skull Island. The trailer Warner released yesterday for this made me a believer, so I will bump Kong up a bit. Instead of the $40-45 million I predicted a month ago I’m now going with a $55-60 million opening weekend for Kong: Skull Island. That means the US total could fall somewhere around $160 million. I would go higher but there’s just too much competition this month and sadly not as many people are talking about Kong, definitely not on the level of Logan or Beauty and the Beast. Worldwide Kong: Skull Island should get past $500 million, maybe even reach $600 million. The 2014 Godzilla stopped at $529.1 million worldwide, that should be Kong‘s target.
On March 17th we’re invited to Beauty and the Beast and The Belko Experiment, two extremely different movies. I guess that’s exactly why The Belko Experiment is there, counterprogramming for Disney’s live-action musical. Even so $6-8 million is probably as high as this can open. That would take The Belko Experiment to a $12-18 million total domestically.
Beauty and the Beast is the real 800-pound gorilla of March. Unless this is an absolutely horrible movie, there’s no way it’s not the top grossing film of the month and possibly top 5 of 2017. Tracking is pointing towards a $140-150 million opening weekend and if it’s really that high than the March record won’t be too far off. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice currently holds that with $166 million. I think Beauty and the Beast might fall just shy of it, $155-160 million, but it should end its domestic box office run much higher, $450-500 million. Worldwide it definitely get to $1 billion, I mean it’s Beauty and the Beast.
March 24th is CHIPs, Life and Power Rangers. With Beauty and the Beast still untouchable in 1st place, Power Rangers will probably open in 2nd with $40 million on its way to $100-110 million in the US and $400 million worldwide. CHIPs and Life will likely fight for 4th place (Logan should be 3rd) and I think Life might have the upper hand. Let’s say $14 million start for Life and $13 million for CHIPs. Life eventually gets to $40-50 million domestically and $120 million worldwide while CHIPs stops at $40 million and $60 million.
On March 31st it’s time for Ghost in the Shell, The Boss Baby, The Zookeeper’s Wife and Step Sisters. I’m biased towards Ghost in the Shell as I really want it to be good and at the same time a box office hit. Of course those two aren’t mutual, Ghost in the Shell could be good and not a box office hit or it could be bad and somehow successful at the box office. But whatever, let’s go with $35-40 million opening weekend, $100 million in the US and $400 million worldwide.
When I look at what they showed so far of The Boss Baby I’m still scratching my head. How this was not canned a long time ago is beyond me. But maybe it’s really good, so that’s why they kept it, right? It’s DreamWorks Animation, consistency is not exactly their strong suit, so who knows. In that case $25 million debut, $80 million domestically and $200 million worldwide. The Zookeeper’s Wife opens with $6 million and eventually makes $20 million in the US while Step Sisters $4 million and $10 million.
That about does it for March. April is getting closer and with it the shadow of the Furious starts creeping in.