A total of 14 movies are set to open nationwide this August, among them you might recognize The Dark Tower, Annabelle: Creation or The Hitman’s Bodyguard.
August 4th finally brings The Dark Tower, thriller Kidnap and also Kathryn Bigelow’s Detroit, which is not technically an August release, but it does go from 20 to 2800+ theaters on this date. The Dark Tower is a little bit of everything genre wise, somewhat based on Stephen King’s series of novels of the same name. Only 4 days to go and still no reviews yet for the movie and that’s pretty scary. Makes The Dark Tower even harder to predict so I’m going to say $25 million to $35 million opening weekend that could lead to $50-100 million in the US and $150-300 million worldwide. Yes, I left myself a big margin, but only because I think The Dark Tower has a lot of potential, potential that could be instantly squandered.
Detroit didn’t exactly set any records this weekend with just $350,190 in 20 theaters, a so-so $17,510 average. It’s not bad and Detroit could still see a $15 million start, but I’m more inclined to give it $10-12 million. From there Detroit might go to $40-50 million in the US. And then there’s Kidnap which will be much smaller, $3-5 million opening, $7-12 million total domestically.
August 11th throws into the ring Annabelle: Creation, The Glass Castle and The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature. Annabelle: Creation is the 2nd The Conjuring spin-off and a prequel to the 2014 Annabelle, a horror that opened with $37.1 million and made $84.3 million in the US and $256.9 million worldwide. Although Creation seems to be a big step up from its predecessor in terms of quality, it will see a sizable drop. By that I mean $20-25 million opening weekend, $50-60 million domestically and $150 million worldwide.
The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature is a sequel to the modestly successful The Nut Job, $19.4 million start back in January 2014, $64.3 million in the US and $120.9 million worldwide. This new one is headed for maybe a bit more than half that, so $10 million debut, $30-35 million in the US and $80 million worldwide. Not a lot to say about The Glass Castle, $2-4 million start, $10+ million domestically.
August 18th comes with The Adventurers, The Hitman’s Bodyguardand Logan Lucky. I really like what I’ve seen of Logan Lucky and it’s also the big return of Steven Soderbergh. Of course just because something looks good to me doesn’t mean it will generate a similar reaction from others. No, Logan Lucky is probably $10-15 million opening weekend, $40-50 million domestically and $80 million or so worldwide. Next is The Adventurers, a Chinese movie starring Jean Reno, so expect a $1 million debut and $2-3 million overall in the US.
I really think there might be something to this The Hitman’s Bodyguard, it doesn’t even have to be all that great. Let’s say $20 million start, $50-60 million overall in the US and over $120 million worldwide. I doubt this is a particularly expensive movie, so that number should suffice.
August 25th is when studios dump whatever they wanted to open in the summer, but never got around to it earlier. This time it’s All Saints, Birth of the Dragon, Crown Heights, A Gentleman, Leap! and Tulip Fever. That’s right, almost half of the month’s 14 movies come out on this day, which is not at all stupid (in case it’s not clear this is me being sarcastic). Before I started writing this I had never heard of most of them and if you’ve visited Filmonic before Tulip Fever might ring a bell (once or twice), and that’s probably it. All of them will likely open between $1 million and $4 million and finish anywhere from $2 million to $10 million.
That’s it for August and looking further ahead September has a few more promising titles like It, Mother! (trailer next week), Kingsman: The Golden Circle, Ninjago or American Made.